Files
forsetsystem/backend/services/predict_service.py
shenjianZ a39d8b2fd2 feat: 初始化员工缺勤分析系统项目
搭建完整的前后端分离架构,实现数据概览、预测分析、聚类分析等核心功能模块

  详细版:
  feat: 初始化员工缺勤分析系统项目

  - 后端:基于 Flask 搭建 RESTful API,包含数据概览、特征分析、预测模型、聚类分析四大模块
  - 前端:基于 Vue.js 构建单页应用,实现 Dashboard、预测、聚类、因子分析等页面
  - 模型:集成随机森林、XGBoost、LightGBM、Stacking 等多种机器学习模型
  - 文档:完成需求规格说明、系统架构设计、接口设计、数据设计、UI原型设计等文档
2026-03-08 14:48:26 +08:00

374 lines
13 KiB
Python

import os
import numpy as np
import joblib
import config
MODEL_INFO = {
'random_forest': {
'name': 'random_forest',
'name_cn': '随机森林',
'description': '基于决策树的集成学习算法'
},
'xgboost': {
'name': 'xgboost',
'name_cn': 'XGBoost',
'description': '高效的梯度提升算法'
},
'lightgbm': {
'name': 'lightgbm',
'name_cn': 'LightGBM',
'description': '微软轻量级梯度提升框架'
},
'gradient_boosting': {
'name': 'gradient_boosting',
'name_cn': 'GBDT',
'description': '梯度提升决策树'
},
'extra_trees': {
'name': 'extra_trees',
'name_cn': '极端随机树',
'description': '随机森林的变体,随机性更强'
},
'stacking': {
'name': 'stacking',
'name_cn': 'Stacking集成',
'description': '多层堆叠集成学习'
}
}
class PredictService:
def __init__(self):
self.models = {}
self.scaler = None
self.feature_names = None
self.selected_features = None
self.label_encoders = {}
self.model_metrics = {}
self.default_model = 'random_forest'
def _ensure_models_loaded(self):
if not self.models:
self.load_models()
def load_models(self):
model_files = {
'random_forest': 'random_forest_model.pkl',
'xgboost': 'xgboost_model.pkl',
'lightgbm': 'lightgbm_model.pkl',
'gradient_boosting': 'gradient_boosting_model.pkl',
'extra_trees': 'extra_trees_model.pkl',
'stacking': 'stacking_model.pkl'
}
for name, filename in model_files.items():
model_path = os.path.join(config.MODELS_DIR, filename)
if os.path.exists(model_path):
try:
self.models[name] = joblib.load(model_path)
print(f"Loaded {name} model")
except Exception as e:
print(f"Failed to load {name}: {e}")
if os.path.exists(config.SCALER_PATH):
self.scaler = joblib.load(config.SCALER_PATH)
feature_names_path = os.path.join(config.MODELS_DIR, 'feature_names.pkl')
if os.path.exists(feature_names_path):
self.feature_names = joblib.load(feature_names_path)
selected_features_path = os.path.join(config.MODELS_DIR, 'selected_features.pkl')
if os.path.exists(selected_features_path):
self.selected_features = joblib.load(selected_features_path)
label_encoders_path = os.path.join(config.MODELS_DIR, 'label_encoders.pkl')
if os.path.exists(label_encoders_path):
self.label_encoders = joblib.load(label_encoders_path)
metrics_path = os.path.join(config.MODELS_DIR, 'model_metrics.pkl')
if os.path.exists(metrics_path):
self.model_metrics = joblib.load(metrics_path)
if self.model_metrics:
valid_metrics = {k: v for k, v in self.model_metrics.items() if k in self.models}
if valid_metrics:
best_model = max(valid_metrics.items(), key=lambda x: x[1]['r2'])
self.default_model = best_model[0]
def get_available_models(self):
self._ensure_models_loaded()
models = []
for name in self.models.keys():
info = MODEL_INFO.get(name, {
'name': name,
'name_cn': name,
'description': ''
}).copy()
info['is_available'] = True
info['is_default'] = (name == self.default_model)
if name in self.model_metrics:
info['metrics'] = self.model_metrics[name]
else:
info['metrics'] = {'r2': 0, 'rmse': 0, 'mae': 0}
models.append(info)
models.sort(key=lambda x: x['metrics']['r2'], reverse=True)
return models
def predict_single(self, data, model_type=None):
self._ensure_models_loaded()
if model_type is None:
model_type = self.default_model
if model_type not in self.models:
available = list(self.models.keys())
if available:
model_type = available[0]
else:
return self._get_default_prediction(data)
model = self.models[model_type]
if self.scaler is None or self.feature_names is None:
return self._get_default_prediction(data)
features = self._prepare_features(data)
try:
predicted_hours = model.predict([features])[0]
predicted_hours = max(0, float(predicted_hours))
except Exception as e:
print(f"Prediction error: {e}")
return self._get_default_prediction(data)
risk_level, risk_label = self._get_risk_level(predicted_hours)
confidence = 0.85
if model_type in self.model_metrics:
confidence = max(0.5, self.model_metrics[model_type].get('r2', 0.85))
return {
'predicted_hours': round(predicted_hours, 2),
'risk_level': risk_level,
'risk_label': risk_label,
'confidence': round(confidence, 2),
'model_used': model_type,
'model_name_cn': MODEL_INFO.get(model_type, {}).get('name_cn', model_type)
}
def predict_compare(self, data):
self._ensure_models_loaded()
results = []
for name in self.models.keys():
try:
result = self.predict_single(data, name)
result['model'] = name
result['model_name_cn'] = MODEL_INFO.get(name, {}).get('name_cn', name)
if name in self.model_metrics:
result['r2'] = self.model_metrics[name]['r2']
else:
result['r2'] = 0
results.append(result)
except Exception as e:
print(f"Compare error for {name}: {e}")
results.sort(key=lambda x: x.get('r2', 0), reverse=True)
if results:
results[0]['recommended'] = True
return results
def _prepare_features(self, data):
feature_map = {
'Reason for absence': data.get('reason_for_absence', 23),
'Month of absence': data.get('month_of_absence', 7),
'Day of the week': data.get('day_of_week', 3),
'Seasons': data.get('seasons', 1),
'Transportation expense': data.get('transportation_expense', 200),
'Distance from Residence to Work': data.get('distance', 20),
'Service time': data.get('service_time', 5),
'Age': data.get('age', 30),
'Work load Average/day': data.get('work_load', 250),
'Hit target': data.get('hit_target', 95),
'Disciplinary failure': data.get('disciplinary_failure', 0),
'Education': data.get('education', 1),
'Son': data.get('son', 0),
'Social drinker': data.get('social_drinker', 0),
'Social smoker': data.get('social_smoker', 0),
'Pet': data.get('pet', 0),
'Body mass index': data.get('bmi', 25)
}
age = feature_map['Age']
service_time = feature_map['Service time']
work_load = feature_map['Work load Average/day']
distance = feature_map['Distance from Residence to Work']
expense = feature_map['Transportation expense']
bmi = feature_map['Body mass index']
son = feature_map['Son']
pet = feature_map['Pet']
social_drinker = feature_map['Social drinker']
social_smoker = feature_map['Social smoker']
hit_target = feature_map['Hit target']
seasons = feature_map['Seasons']
day_of_week = feature_map['Day of the week']
derived_features = {
'workload_per_age': work_load / (age + 1),
'expense_per_distance': expense / (distance + 1),
'age_service_ratio': age / (service_time + 1),
'has_children': 1 if son > 0 else 0,
'has_pet': 1 if pet > 0 else 0,
'family_responsibility': son + pet,
'health_risk': 1 if (social_drinker == 1 or social_smoker == 1 or bmi > 30) else 0,
'lifestyle_risk': int(social_drinker) + int(social_smoker),
'age_group': 1 if age <= 30 else (2 if age <= 40 else (3 if age <= 50 else 4)),
'service_group': 1 if service_time <= 5 else (2 if service_time <= 10 else (3 if service_time <= 20 else 4)),
'bmi_category': 1 if bmi <= 18.5 else (2 if bmi <= 25 else (3 if bmi <= 30 else 4)),
'workload_category': 1 if work_load <= 200 else (2 if work_load <= 250 else (3 if work_load <= 300 else 4)),
'commute_category': 1 if distance <= 10 else (2 if distance <= 20 else (3 if distance <= 50 else 4)),
'seasonal_risk': 1 if seasons in [1, 3] else 0,
'weekday_risk': 1 if day_of_week in [2, 6] else 0,
'hit_target_ratio': hit_target / 100,
'experience_level': 1 if service_time <= 5 else (2 if service_time <= 10 else (3 if service_time <= 15 else 4)),
'age_workload_interaction': age * work_load / 10000,
'service_bmi_interaction': service_time * bmi / 100
}
all_features = {**feature_map, **derived_features}
features = []
for fname in self.feature_names:
if fname in all_features:
val = all_features[fname]
if fname in self.label_encoders:
try:
val = self.label_encoders[fname].transform([str(val)])[0]
except:
val = 0
features.append(float(val))
else:
features.append(0.0)
features = np.array(features).reshape(1, -1)
features = self.scaler.transform(features)[0]
if self.selected_features:
selected_indices = []
for sf in self.selected_features:
if sf in self.feature_names:
selected_indices.append(self.feature_names.index(sf))
if selected_indices:
features = features[selected_indices]
return features
def _get_risk_level(self, hours):
if hours < 4:
return 'low', '低风险'
elif hours <= 8:
return 'medium', '中风险'
else:
return 'high', '高风险'
def _get_default_prediction(self, data):
base_hours = 5.0
expense = data.get('transportation_expense', 200)
if expense > 300:
base_hours += 1.0
elif expense < 150:
base_hours -= 0.5
distance = data.get('distance', 20)
if distance > 40:
base_hours += 1.5
elif distance > 25:
base_hours += 0.8
service_time = data.get('service_time', 5)
if service_time < 3:
base_hours += 0.5
elif service_time > 15:
base_hours -= 0.5
age = data.get('age', 30)
if age > 50:
base_hours += 0.5
elif age < 25:
base_hours += 0.3
work_load = data.get('work_load', 250)
if work_load > 300:
base_hours += 1.5
elif work_load > 260:
base_hours += 0.5
bmi = data.get('bmi', 25)
if bmi > 30:
base_hours += 0.8
elif bmi < 20:
base_hours += 0.3
if data.get('social_drinker', 0) == 1:
base_hours += 0.8
if data.get('social_smoker', 0) == 1:
base_hours += 0.5
son = data.get('son', 0)
if son > 0:
base_hours += 0.3 * son
pet = data.get('pet', 0)
if pet > 0:
base_hours -= 0.1 * pet
hit_target = data.get('hit_target', 95)
if hit_target < 90:
base_hours += 0.5
base_hours = max(0.5, base_hours)
risk_level, risk_label = self._get_risk_level(base_hours)
return {
'predicted_hours': round(base_hours, 2),
'risk_level': risk_level,
'risk_label': risk_label,
'confidence': 0.75,
'model_used': 'default',
'model_name_cn': '默认规则'
}
def get_model_info(self):
self._ensure_models_loaded()
models = self.get_available_models()
return {
'models': models,
'training_info': {
'train_samples': 2884,
'test_samples': 722,
'feature_count': len(self.feature_names) if self.feature_names else 20,
'training_date': '2026-03-08'
}
}
predict_service = PredictService()